July 9, 2014 at 12:20 pm

Wolverines fall hard, Spartans rise in ESPN's Future Power Rankings

Michigan has lost to Ohio State nine times in the last 10 years. (John T. Greilick / Detroit News)

The second edition of ESPN’s Future Power Rankings for college football sees Michigan dropping from No. 5 to No. 20 and Michigan State rising from unranked (among 25 teams) to No. 17.

The rankings (pay site) are the cumulative results of five ESPN college football experts grading programs on five categories. The experts are Travis Haney, Brad Edwards, Brock Huard, Tom Luginbill and Mark Schlabach.

Here are the categories, with the percentage of weight assigned to each:

* Coaching, 27.5 percent

* Current talent, 27.5 percent

* Recruiting, 15 percent

* Title path, 10 percent

* Program power, 20 percent

The Future Power Rankings attempt to determine the most successful programs for the next three seasons. The top three in this edition are Alabama, Florida State and Ohio State.

“No program fell more in our rankings than Michigan, which dropped 15 spots following a 7-6 season that included losses in six of the last eight games,” Haney writes.

He adds in the recruiting section: “Michigan had the Nos. 6 and 7 classes in 2012 and 2013. If you recruit that well and you do not produce, it begins to work against you.”

As for the Spartans’ recruiting, Luginbill says, “There's a false perception that their roster is littered with two- and three-star kids. There are more four-stars than people think. They recruit better players than people think."

Adds Haney: “It's true. The Spartans didn't have a single five-star in the past two classes, but they did have 13 four-stars. They do a nice job recruiting outside their region, too. All-American CB Darqueze Dennard, for one, grew up in rural Georgia.”