Tech firm: Holiday spending up 9.2 percent so far
New York – A payment technology firm says that holiday spending is surging in the days before Christmas.
First Data said Friday that overall spending, excluding gas, rose 9.2 percent from Nov. 1 through Monday, outpacing the 3.7 percent pace for the year-ago period. The company analyzes online and in-store payments for 1.3 million merchants.
Retail spending, which excludes grocery stores, restaurants, auto parts merchants and gas stations, is up 6.6 percent, more than the 2 percent growth for the year-ago period.
Online sales growth continues to outpace brick-and-mortar growth, at 11 percent compared with 5.4 percent for stores.
Cooler weather, rising consumer confidence and low unemployment are enticing shoppers to spend.
The report comes as Commerce Department released data Friday showing that Americans stepped up their overall spending last month.
The Commerce Department said consumer spending rose a sharp 0.6 percent from October, outpacing a 0.3 percent increase in personal income. As a result, the savings rate fell to 2.9 percent of after-tax income in November, lowest since November 2007.
The numbers bode well for the holidays and for the overall economy: Consumer spending accounts for about 70 percent of U.S. economic output.
Spending on both goods and services rose in November, led by increases in purchases of recreational goods, vehicles electricity and gas.
The savings rate has been falling steadily since February when it was at 4.1 percent.
“The saving rate can’t fall forever,” Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, wrote in a research note, “so income growth needs to pick up if consumers are to continue spending at their recent pace.”
The measure of inflation favored by the Federal Reserve remained subdued, rising 1.8 percent in November from a year ago, 1.5 percent excluding volatile energy and food prices. Inflation is running below the Fed’s 2 percent annual target, but the central bank is still confident enough in the economy to have raised interest rates three times this year.
The overall U.S. economy has looked solid. Growth clocked in at an annual pace of 3.2 percent in the third quarter and 3.1 percent in the second. Unemployment has dropped to a 17-year 4.1 percent, helping boost consumer confidence.
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