Poll: Jeb Bush’s numbers fall in three swing states
Three swing states are not exactly swinging in the right direction for former Florida governor Jeb Bush.
Bush had dropped eight points in little more than a month in his home state of Florida, a new Quinnipiac University poll finds. While the presumptive GOP frontrunner leads the new poll with 24 percent support from the 428 registered Republicans surveyed, putting him out front of his Republican rivals in the Sunshine State, that's down from 32 percent of Florida voters who said they supported him for president on Feb. 4.
Despite the softening of support, 24 percent feels rock solid compared with Bush's numbers in Ohio and Pennsylvania, where Bush just eight and nine percent support, respectively, the poll found.
In Ohio, Bush trails that state's governor, John Kasich, who received the support of 20 percent of the 404 registered Republicans polled, Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, who each received nine percent in the poll.
Pennsylvania, where 442 registered Republicans were polled, wasn't much better for Bush. There, he trails Walker, who tallied 14 percent support, and ties with retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson and former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum with nine percent. In the Feb. Qunnipiac poll, Bush had received 12 percent support.
“Bush has a lead over the field in his home state of Florida, but it’s not anywhere near insurmountable. There is no clear leader in Pennsylvania and Gov. John Kasich, the native son, is ahead in Ohio,” Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac Poll, said in a statement.
While Bush continues to impress political observers with his moves in the fundraising arena, his poll numbers are not making him out to be the breakaway frontrunner. That distinction continues to be held by Democrat Hillary Clinton.
In Florida, Clinton receives 65 percent of the vote among the 344 registered Democrats polled. In Ohio, Clinton is the first choice of 54 percent of the 324 Democrats surveyed, and in Pennsylvania, where 415 registered Democrats were questioned, she receives 48 percent of the vote.
"The email to Hillary Clinton loyalists could read, ‘Taking some hits, but hanging tough,’ as Pennsylvania Democrats seem to be sticking by her,” said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.
The interviews were conducted in person, on land lines and cellphones from March 17-28, and each of the state polls has a margin of error of plus or minus three percent.