Bush leads GOP by an inch, Clinton leads Dems by a mile

Ali Elkin
Bloomberg News

Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush has a slight lead over Republican presidential hopefuls, and Hillary Clinton has a significant one over fellow Democrats, according to a CNN/ORC International poll published Monday.

Seventeen percent percent of self-identified Republicans and GOP-leaning independents said they favored Bush, who has not formally declared himself a candidate yet. He was followed by Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, another undeclared contender, at 12 percent, and Senators Rand Paul of Kentucky and Marco Rubio of Florida at 11 percent each.

It's a completely different story on the Democratic side, where 69 percent of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents selected Clinton, the former secretary of state who joined the race April 12, as their top choice. Possible challengers trailed far behind: Vice President Joe Biden took 11 percent, independent Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders took 5 percent, former Virginia Sen. Jim Webb took 3 percent, and former Governors Martin O'Malley of Maryland and Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island took 1 percent each.

Clinton's primary support grew by seven percentage points since the last poll in March.

In general-election match-ups, Rubio performed best against Clinton, 41 percent to 55 percent.

The poll reached 435 U.S. adults by phone for the Republican sample and 458 for the Democratic sample from April 16-19, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points. For the general-election poll, 1,018 adults were surveyed, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.