Tampa, Fla. — There's only one team the Atlanta Falcons need to be concerned about the rest of the way.
The defending NFC champions trail division rivals New Orleans and Carolina by one game with two weeks remaining in the regular season. But if the Falcons (9-5) beat the Saints (10-4) and Panthers (10-4), they win the NFC South again.
One victory in the final two games guarantees Atlanta a playoff berth.
To make the playoffs, the Detroit Lions need to win their remaining games, against the Bengals and Packers, and need the Falcons to lose both of their games.
The Packers were eliminated with Atlanta’s win on Monday night.
"We're right where we need to be at this point of the season," quarterback Matt Ryan said after Monday night's 24-21 win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. "We've got to find a way to get back to work this week, try to improve and make sure we play the best we're capable of playing this Sunday."
"That's really all our focus needs to be about," he added. "If we're worried about anything else then you're not as locked in as you need to be."
Devonta Freeman had 194 yards from scrimmage — rushing for 126 on 22 carries and catching five passes for a team-high 68 yards — to pace Atlanta's fifth victory in six games.
Ryan threw for 212 yards, a touchdown and no interceptions.
"Can't think too far into the future. Always focus on what we've got next," Falcons safety Keanu Neal said. "Look too far ahead, you lose sight of the present."
Freeman's 32-yard TD run gave Atlanta a 10-point lead that the defense nearly let slip away over the final eight minutes.
The 5-foot-6, 206-pound running back kept pounding away at the Bucs defense until finally finding his way into the open field, darting through a gaping hole on the right side before cutting back to elude the only defender with a shot at tackling him on his way to the end zone.
"We had a sense this would be a big night for him. We talked about that before the game," Falcons coach Dan Quinn said. "We thought he would have his opportunities. If he could get to the next level and to a linebacker or safety or corner, make sure he had a plan how he wanted to finish."
With Freeman's sidekick, Tevin Coleman, out with a concussion, third-string running back Terron Ward shared the rushing load with the two-time 1,000-yard rusher.
"I saw him hit the sideline. And, Free one-on-one with anyone in the open field, I'm taking Free," Ward said.
Jameis Winston had his sharpest performance of the season for the Bucs (4-10), who have lost nine of 11 following a 2-1 start.
The third-year pro completed 27 of 35 passes for 299 yards and three TDs with no turnovers. He had TD passes of 30 yards to O.J. Howard, 42 yards to Mike Evans and 16 yards to Adam Humphries, the latter pulling Tampa Bay to 24-21 with four minutes remaining.